Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.100169 0.115812 0.133082 0.153561 0.177186 0.203591 0.235350
2025-12-21 0.075544 0.096532 0.122079 0.155465 0.197964 0.250293 0.319694
2025-12-28 0.064295 0.088113 0.119154 0.162571 0.221777 0.299781 0.410546
2026-01-04 0.055797 0.080959 0.115627 0.166882 0.240810 0.343732 0.498249
2026-01-11 0.049292 0.075147 0.112526 0.170508 0.258301 0.386503 0.588481
2026-01-18 0.043624 0.069515 0.108594 0.171876 0.271952 0.424461 0.675327
2026-01-25 0.038242 0.063452 0.103033 0.169693 0.279379 0.453178 0.750555
2026-02-01 0.033139 0.057085 0.096077 0.164178 0.280433 0.471412 0.810335
2026-02-08 0.030379 0.054195 0.094320 0.166826 0.294928 0.512587 0.912267
2026-02-15 0.027682 0.051043 0.091686 0.167522 0.305923 0.548678 1.009019
2026-02-22 0.025577 0.048662 0.090068 0.169714 0.319602 0.590550 1.120268
2026-03-01 0.022972 0.045033 0.085769 0.166436 0.322765 0.613598 1.198995
2026-03-08 0.020794 0.041998 0.082302 0.164460 0.328402 0.642268 1.292635
2026-03-15 0.019329 0.040189 0.080972 0.166481 0.342032 0.687623 1.424234
2026-03-22 0.018623 0.039814 0.082385 0.174090 0.367575 0.758805 1.615626
2026-03-29 0.017663 0.038793 0.082362 0.178706 0.387409 0.820453 1.794007
2026-04-05 0.016718 0.037685 0.082027 0.182588 0.406053 0.881453 1.977638
2026-04-12 0.015648 0.036174 0.080661 0.184054 0.419562 0.932863 2.145854
2026-04-19 0.014375 0.034056 0.077740 0.181716 0.424309 0.965638 2.275750
2026-04-26 0.012965 0.031459 0.073470 0.175811 0.420240 0.978300 2.360639
2026-05-03 0.012306 0.030561 0.072973 0.178646 0.436834 1.039558 2.566597
2026-05-10 0.011562 0.029372 0.071667 0.179392 0.448488 1.090449 2.753081
2026-05-17 0.010979 0.028511 0.071050 0.181738 0.464272 1.152677 2.974225